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Wondering if LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton Société Européenne’s luxury pedigree is reflected in its current stock price? You are definitely not alone. Figuring out if the shares are a steal or priced for perfection is a hot topic.
LVMH’s stock has shown resilience, gaining 2.6% over the last week and 2.3% over the past month, even though the year-to-date performance is slightly down by 1.6%.
Recent headlines have focused on shifts in luxury sector sentiment and ongoing changes in global consumer demand. News about LVMH’s strategic initiatives and acquisitions has added fuel to investor discussions, making the latest price moves especially intriguing.
Its valuation score currently stands at 2 out of 6. This sparks a deeper look into whether the company offers fair value. Let’s break down traditional valuation methods first. There is also a smarter way to gauge true value coming up at the end.
LVMH Moët Hennessy – Louis Vuitton Société Européenne scores just 2/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown.
A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model estimates a company’s worth by projecting its future cash flows and then discounting them back to today’s values. This approach helps investors gauge whether the current market price reflects the underlying financial performance and growth potential.
For LVMH, the model uses the most recent Free Cash Flow, which stands at €13.3 billion. Analyst forecasts provide projections for the next five years, with Simply Wall St extrapolating further growth out to 2035. By 2029, Free Cash Flow is expected to be around €12.8 billion, with longer-term projections tapering slightly as growth rates normalize.
Based on these cash flows and applying a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity model, the estimated intrinsic value per share comes in at €364.01. Comparing this to the current share price, the analysis implies the stock is trading at a 71.8% premium to its fair value, meaning the shares appear significantly overvalued according to this method.
Result: OVERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests LVMH Moët Hennessy – Louis Vuitton Société Européenne may be overvalued by 71.8%. Discover 927 undervalued stocks or create your own screener to find better value opportunities.
Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for LVMH Moët Hennessy – Louis Vuitton Société Européenne.
For profitable companies like LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton Société Européenne, the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is a widely accepted valuation metric. It compares the company’s share price to its earnings per share, offering a snapshot of how the market values those profits. A higher PE ratio can signal strong growth expectations or lower perceived risks, while a lower PE might suggest more modest prospects or elevated uncertainty.
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Craig Williams and Rebecca CurranBBC Scotland
PA MediaAberdeen is an oil and gas city and has been for more than 50 years.
The city’s port is filled with the busy traffic which services the North Sea industry. The skies above buzz with the helicopters which dart back and forth between the city’s airport and the near 300 platforms which sit in the UK’s waters.
The industry serving those is huge and covers all sectors from cutting edge technology through engineering and logistics to those firms which feed and water the workers offshore.
An estimated 200,000 jobs rely on what happens in the waters of the North Sea. That includes those who work in Aberdeen’s pubs and hotels and even those who drive its taxis.
And that’s why what was announced in Wednesday’s Budget matters.
The news that there would be some relaxation of restrictions on new oil and gas drilling in the North Sea was something those in the sector could welcome.
A UK government review will allow small “tiebacks” – subsea links permitting extraction to go ahead in fields where existing oil and gas fields stray into currently-unlicenced areas.
That ought to help prolong the future of the sector, perhaps keeping people in skilled jobs while the UK economy moves its energy balance away from fossil fuels towards renewables.
It also brings UK ministers closer to their counterparts in Edinburgh, where the Scottish government has moved away from its earlier “presumption against” new oil and gas extraction.
But there was disappointment that the Chancellor made no move to scrap the Energy Profits Levy (EPL) – the so-called “windfall tax” – which was introduced by the Conservative government in 2022 following a boost in oil and gas profits caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
It’s due to stay in place until 2030 and there have been constant and repeated calls for it to be scrapped amid claims it’s damaging the North Sea industry.
Mark Milne is one of those Aberdeen business owners who, at first glance, doesn’t seem connected to the oil and gas industry. But he is.
He’s owned the Spider’s Web pub for 36 years. It sits in the suburb of Dyce, on the north-west edge of the city. It’s close to a heliport and is the first stop for many workers touching down after weeks offshore.
That leaves him well qualified to notice what’s happening. To his own living and to his customers’ businesses and jobs.
“We’ve seen a dip in the oil and gas customers and that’s onshore and offshore. A lot of the oil offices that were here are not. There’s a horrible example just along the road of a great office building torn down this week,” he said.
“Those were all my customers. We do still get plenty of oil and gas people coming in but maybe not as many and, are they as confident to spend?”.
Mark says this is a worry for him, his staff, his neighbours. “I speak to the hairdresser up the road. There’s not the same people going through Dyce. It affects everybody.”
He says “100%” of his oil and gas customers believe the UK government is not doing enough for the industry, both through the windfall tax and “the green issues, not allowing redevelopments and what have you”.
“It’s a great industry with a great future. It creates wealth, it creates jobs. Well-paid jobs. And it seems like the government is happy to see these things go,” he said.
On the day after the Budget, UK Energy Minister Michael Shanks was in Aberdeen, where his government has committed to basing the state-owned energy company Great British Energy.
Visiting an offshore training centre, he defended the importance of the ELP, which he said had raised £11bn for investment in public services.
He believes the oil and gas sector has to do its bit and contribute to the overall tax take.
But speaking to BBC Radio Scotland’s Lunchtime Live, he said the problems being experienced in the North Sea could not be blamed on the ELP.
“This isn’t a short-term transition that suddenly arrived in the North Sea. We hit peak oil and gas more than 20 years ago,” he said.
“We’ve been a net importer since 2003 and we have lost more than 70,000 jobs in the past decade. So the idea that somehow this isn’t a transition that isn’t already underway, I think is quite wrong.
“Our plan as a government is to say: ‘Look, oil and gas is hugely important and will be for decades to come. But in order to make sure that that this is genuinely a prosperous and just transition we also have to drive forward the investment in what comes next’.
“That means investment in offshore wind, carbon capture, hydrogen. But it also means making it as easy as possible for people to find those jobs.”
ProservSome of the loudest voices speaking out against the EPL are coming from the city’s many boardrooms.
Davis Larssen is chief executive of global energy technology company Proserv.
They operate out of Europe, Asia, the United States and the Middle East. Their UK headquarters have been in Aberdeen for the past 50 years.
But he points out that where and how they do business is changing.
He told BBC Scotland News between 35-40% of the firm’s workforce is based in the UK but the last two years has seen most of their work moving overseas.
“I think it’s fair to say if we were starting with a blank piece of paper we would not put our HQ in Aberdeen,” he said.
“We’re here for historical reasons. We’ve got a lot of very valued employees here but we increasingly support clients all around the world so it obviously has been more difficult to continue with an HQ and with facilities in Aberdeen.”
He blames the ELP for that change. He believes it has accelerated the decline of North Sea oil and gas and the UK government’s decision to allow tiebacks is scant consolation.
“It could potentially help but it’s a very, very small step in the right direction,” he said.
Back in the Spider’s Web pub, the answer for Mark Milne is simple.
“Take advantage of our natural resources. Drill baby, drill”.
