Category: 3. Business

  • Leapfrogging China’s Critical Minerals Dominance

    Leapfrogging China’s Critical Minerals Dominance

    Recommendations

    To support innovation, the United States and its allies should take steps in three areas: international policy collaboration, private-sector collaboration, and international funding sector coordination.

    To collaborate on international policy, the United States and its allies should:

    • Prioritize a set of high-impact technologies and adopt fast-moving strategies that prioritize critical gaps and opportunities in the minerals value chain. The Japanese model offers a clear blueprint. Sustained public-private investment has driven Japanese global leadership in high-efficiency hydrometallurgy, high-purity magnet materials, and mining e-waste with a targeted focus on rare-earth elements. Building on this foundation, the United States and its allies should jointly fund commercial-scale processing and recycling projects, accelerate next-generation separation and magnetic recovery technologies, and deepen geological collaboration—including research on deep-sea mineral resources through bilateral mechanisms.
    • Designate national laboratories in the United States and allied countries as core pillars of the innovation ecosystem, particularly in mineral separation science, metallurgy, advanced materials, recycling, and recovery. The United States and its allies should establish formal mechanisms to better integrate National Labs with private firms, start-ups, and allied research institutions. These mechanisms would enable shared access to facilities, coordinated research agendas, and faster translation of laboratory breakthroughs into commercial applications.
    • Deploy coordinated measures to protect critical mineral and REE markets in the United States and allied countries from nonmarket policies and unfair trade practices to support the economic viability of technologies and related projects. Measures could include ensuring that countries that meet certain standards, including price standards, are eligible for market access in the United States and allied countries. This policy would be consistent with the G7 Action Plan and bilateral agreements that the Trump administration has agreed to with Australia, Japan, and Malaysia.

    To improve private-sector collaboration, the United States and its allies should:

    • Make the private sector, particularly major mining and materials companies, central partners in technology scaling. Large firms play a critical role by providing real-world test environments, infrastructure, and operational expertise that significantly reduce technical and commercial risk. Allied governments should encourage structured partnership models between incumbents and emerging technology developers.
    • Leverage allied government and industry resources to address the acute shortage of pilot- and demonstration-scale facilities. China has invested heavily in shared-use pilot infrastructure that allows multiple firms to test technologies at scale before committing to full commercial development. Establishing similar shared pilot facilities, be it publicly funded, privately operated, or structured as hybrid partnerships, could dramatically lower costs and speed deployment, particularly for capital-intensive processes where furnace construction and specialized equipment represent the largest barriers to scale.

    To coordinate international funding mechanisms, the United States and its allies should:

    • Create a G7 Innovation Fund or G7 Production Alliance Fund dedicated to co-financing critical minerals innovation across member states. This mechanism could function as a “plurilateral In-Q-Tel,” pooling capital and expertise from multiple federal agencies alongside equivalent agencies from allied countries, sovereign wealth funds, private equity and venture capital firms, and corporate venture funds. Cost-sharing and risk-pooling would reduce downside risk, align national security and commercial objectives, and impose market discipline at each stage of development. It would also empower sovereign investment vehicles, export credit agencies, and development finance institutions to blend domestic capital with allied funding in priority supply chains. These tools are uniquely suited to lower investment risk for private investors, mobilize large pools of capital, and accelerate scale while reinforcing shared strategic objectives across allied ecosystems.
    • Streamline innovation funding and application processes with shared platforms to ensure that start-ups and small companies can access grants, loans, and investment programs in one another’s economies. Simplifying requirements, harmonizing procedures across allied funding sources, and reducing administrative burdens can help unlock the next generation of mineral technologies. At the same time, allies should establish bilateral and plurilateral investment coordination platforms—particularly among the United States, Australia, Canada, Japan, the G7, and other partners—and allow early-stage funding to operate beyond strictly domestic constraints. Agencies such as the Department of Energy, Department of Defense, and DFC should have the flexibility to coinvest internationally to strengthen shared supply chain resilience.
    • Establish an open solicitation platform for critical mineral technologies that provides predictable pathways from early-stage ideation to commercialization. This process could begin with small grants (for example, $150,000) for proof-of-concept work, scale to multimillion-dollar awards for piloting and demonstration projects, and grow to access other public-private support, such as offtake arrangements tied to performance milestones.
    • Align and enact government policy to support allied mineral recovery and recycling, where upfront capital requirements often deter private investment despite strong economic trajectories. Targeted co-investment, risk-reducing guarantees, and well-designed tax incentives can help mining and materials companies justify investments in recovery circuits, recycling infrastructure, and circular processing systems that would otherwise remain stranded.

    The United States will not secure its critical mineral future through traditional mining and processing alone. While expanding extraction and refining capacity is necessary, it is insufficient to overcome China’s structural advantages in technology, cost, and scale. The area in which the United States can most credibly compete, and potentially overcome its disadvantage, is innovation. The most promising way to leapfrog China’s entrenched position is for the U.S. government to maximize breakthrough materials engineering, advanced extraction and processing technologies, waste recovery, and recycling. Those innovations are already emerging across the private sector, National Labs, universities, and early-stage companies, driven in part by heightened policy attention to national and economic security. Yet innovation in this sector is uniquely fragile. Even technically successful companies can fail not because their technologies do not work, but because they slide into one of several persistent valleys of death that interrupt progress between the stages of discovery, pilot, and commercial scale.

    Closing those valleys of death requires a stronger domestic funding ecosystem, reformed policies, and deeper allied coordination. Private capital alone cannot reliably bridge the multiple gaps facing frontier mineral technologies, particularly when timelines are long, the risks are greater, and returns depend on system-wide adoption rather than firm-level success. Government support is therefore not a substitute for markets but a necessary catalyst to spur private investment, reduce risk, and shorten scaling timelines.

    At the same time, the United States should not innovate in isolation. While the United States brings comparative strengths in R&D, entrepreneurship, and capital formation, many U.S. allies have greater expertise in mining, processing, and industrial scaling. The United States needs a coordinated policy and financing architecture that treats innovation not as an afterthought but as the primary means by which it and its allies can leapfrog China in critical minerals—and secure the material foundations of economic and strategic strength.

    Appendix I: President Trump’s Executive Orders on Critical Minerals

    EO 14154, “Unleashing American Energy” Directs the secretary of the interior to prioritize geologic mapping and to instruct USGS to consider updating its critical mineral list
    EO 14156, “Declaring a National Energy Emergency” Directs department heads and executives to identify and exercise any lawful emergency authorities to facilitate the identification, leasing, siting, production, transportation, refining, and generation of domestic energy resources
    EO 14213, “Establishing the National Energy Dominance Council” Establishes the NEDC as an advisory mechanism for the president, focusing on improving the process for permitting, production, generation, distribution, regulation, transportation, and export of critical minerals and energy as a whole
    EO 14241, “Immediate Measures to Increase American Mineral Production” Aims to facilitate production for minerals classified as “critical,” in addition to uranium, copper, potash, gold, and others determined by the chair of the NEDC
    EO 14261, “Reinvigorating America’s Beautiful Clean Coal Industry” Directs the secretaries of energy and the interior to determine if coal should qualify as a “critical mineral” under the Energy Act of 2020, and to take steps to place coal on the Critical Minerals List if it does
    EO 14285, “Unleashing America’s Offshore Critical Minerals Resources” Sets forth a new policy to advance seabed mineral development

    Appendix II: The Mineral Technology Valleys of Death

    Technology Valley of Death: Between early scientific discovery and a reliable, engineered process capable of producing materials at quality and scale. Many breakthrough concepts emerge from universities or National Labs, yet few transition into robust pilot systems. Government grants typically fund this stage.

    Pilot-Scale and Validation Valley of Death: Once a technology is proven for potential commercialization, scientists and entrepreneurs face a second gap: financing and operating a pilot or demonstration. This stage is where most mineral innovations fail. Pilot facilities are capital intensive, technically risky, and too small to generate revenue. Yet without a pilot plant, technologies cannot produce the data required for customer qualification, engineering validation, or eventual bankability. Following the pilot, customer qualification and engineering validation are costly and time consuming, but necessary to prove the technology works.

    Commercialization Valley of Death: Once a technology works and is validated, the company needs to attract enough seed or Series A capital to build the first commercial facility. This is the most acute bottleneck in the mineral supply chain. Investors often demand evidence that cannot be generated without a commercial facility, creating a catch-22.

    Profitability Valley of Death: Even after a first commercial plant is built, a final gap remains: achieving cost-competitive, sustained profitability, especially in the face of cyclical minerals markets that are dominated by incumbents with massive scale and often influenced by China’s subsidized pricing. New producers face years of price volatility, qualification requirements with customers, ramp-up inefficiencies, and competition from artificially low-cost Chinese production. Many firms reach commercial output only to struggle with margins that cannot support continuing operations or expansion or attract follow-on investment.

    We are grateful for the thoughtful comments of Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) President Mike Froman, Senior Vice President and Director of Studies Shannon O’Neil, and Associate Vice President of Studies Stuart Reid. For their insights over six sessions from June 2025 to December 2025, we are indebted to the members of the CFR/Silverado Study Group on Strategic Leapfrogging Through the Critical Minerals Crisis. We benefited immensely from insightful presentations and enthusiastic interventions by study group members, which included a cross section of bipartisan policymakers, scientists and national labs, investors, early-to-growth stage companies, and industry leaders focused on actionable strategies the United States should pursue to quickly advance new generations of technology that could change the critical minerals chessboard entirely. It was a privilege to convene with such an engaged, mission-driven cohort.

    For full disclosure, this report includes a number of references to companies whose representatives were in the study group—including the three case studies. Those companies are Alta Resources Technologies, Element3, Glencore, In-Q-Tel, Lilac Solutions, MP Materials, Niron Magnetics, Orion Industrial Ventures, Phoenix Tailings, ReElement Technologies, Rio Tinto, TechMet, and Vulcan Elements. These references were intended to provide illustrative examples supporting our analysis and recommendations. But the companies and their representatives had no editorial control over the report in general or the passages mentioning them in specific. Nor did they provide financial support; CFR does not accept funding from corporations for individual research projects.

    Our special thanks to CFR research associates A.J. Dilts, Turner Ruggi, and Michael Weilandt for their exceptional research support and seamless administrative coordination, and to Patricia Dorff and Caitlin Moran for their guidance and editorial contributions.

    Our special thanks to Silverado Policy Accelerator CEO Sarah Stewart; Senior Policy Analyst David Kelm; and Vice President of Research and Analysis Andrew David.

    Heidi Crebo-Rediker is a senior fellow for geoeconomics at the Council on Foreign Relations, specializing in economic security, economic competitiveness, and international finance. She directs CFR’s Roundtable Series on Global Political Economy. Previously, Crebo-Rediker served in the Obama administration as the State Department’s first chief economist. She provided strategic advice to two secretaries of state on the integration of economics and finance with geopolitics to help craft and launch “economic statecraft” in the Obama administration. Before this, she served as the chief of international finance and economics for the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations. Over her previous, nearly two-decade investment banking career based in Europe as a managing director at several investment banks, she managed businesses including sovereign and public-sector banking, European debt capital markets, emerging markets debt capital markets, and corporate finance. Her areas of industry focus were energy and mining, financial services, and telecommunications. She began her career in energy merchant banking and investing in Russia/CIS. Crebo-Rediker holds a BA from Dartmouth College and MSc from the London School of Economics.

    Mahnaz Khan is vice president of policy for critical supply chains at Silverado Policy Accelerator, where she leads the organization’s critical minerals portfolio. Her work focuses on developing innovative trade policy strategies and analyzing the geopolitical and economic security dimensions of critical mineral supply chains. Prior to joining Silverado in 2024, Khan spent fourteen years as a career civil servant in U.S. trade policy, serving at the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative, the U.S. International Trade Commission, and the Department of Commerce. She also serves as a nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council’s GeoTech Center. She holds a BS in business administration from Boston University and a JD from Chicago-Kent College of Law.t

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  • Construction of Fukui Murata Manufacturing’s New Ceramic Capacitor R&D Center Completed

    Construction of Fukui Murata Manufacturing’s New Ceramic Capacitor R&D Center Completed

    05/02/2026

    Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd.
    President: Norio Nakajima


     

    Fukui Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (Echizen City, Fukui Prefecture), a manufacturing subsidiary of Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd., began constructing the Ceramic Capacitor R&D Center, a new research and development base, in November 2023. The construction is now completed, and a completion ceremony was held on Thursday, February 5, 2026. The center is scheduled to open on Monday, March 30, 2026.

    The establishment of the Ceramic Capacitor R&D Center is aimed at improving Murata’s technological capabilities in the development and manufacturing of ceramic capacitors, its core business. By creating a cutting-edge environment dedicated to research and development, Murata aims to facilitate higher-level R&D activities and nurture engineers. The center will also collaborate with other Murata sites and partner companies to strengthen Murata’s manufacturing capabilities across the entire manufacturing process from product development to mass production.
    Going forward, Murata will continue to pursue the enhancement of its technological capabilities in order to provide innovative products and technologies to society and contribute to further growth in the electronics market.

    Overview of completion ceremony

    Date/Time: 10:00 a.m. to 11:20 a.m. on Thursday, February 5, 2026
    Location: Ceramic Capacitor R&D Center
    Fukui Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd.
    Guests:

    Mio Washizu, lieutenant Governor of Fukui Prefecture
    Yoichi Koizumi, Acting Mayor and Deputy Mayor of Echizen City 
    (And others)

    Attendees from Murata: Nagato Omori, Executive Vice President, Ceramic Capacitor Business Unit, Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd.
    Naoya Hatao, President and Representative Director, Fukui Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd.
    (And others)

    Overview of facility

    Address: Oyacho, Echizen City, Fukui Prefecture 
    *To be appended at a later date due to registration of land-parcel consolidation currently in progress
    Structure/size: Steel-framed construction, five stories above ground
    Site area: 54,450 square meters
    Floor area: 41,709 square meters
    Purpose: Research and development of ceramic capacitors
    Total investment: Approx. 35 billion yen (land and building costs)

    Fukui Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd.

    Address:  13-1 Okamotocho, Echizen City, Fukui Prefecture
    Founded: February 1951
    Capital: 300 million yen
    Representative: Naoya Hatao, President and Representative Director
    Number of employees: 5,991 (as of January 31, 2026)
    Business: Development and manufacture of capacitors, noise-suppressing components, etc.

     


    Murata in Brief

    Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd. is a worldwide leader in the design, manufacture and sale of ceramic-based passive electronic components & solutions, communication modules and power supply modules. Murata is committed to the development of advanced electronic materials and leading edge, multi-functional, high-density modules. The company has employees and manufacturing facilities throughout the world.

    For more information, visit Murata’s website

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  • Fitch Affirms Yuexiu REIT at 'BBB-'; Rates Proposed Green Notes 'BBB-' – Fitch Ratings

    1. Fitch Affirms Yuexiu REIT at ‘BBB-‘; Rates Proposed Green Notes ‘BBB-‘  Fitch Ratings
    2. Yuexiu Real Estate Investment Trust proposes issue of CNY1.74 bln 3.40% guaranteed green notes due 2029  marketscreener.com
    3. Yuexiu Property Plans CNY1.735 Billion Green Note Issue to Refinance Debt and Fund Green Projects  TipRanks

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  • Baidu Announces New Share Repurchase Program and Dividend Policy

    BEIJING, Feb. 4, 2026 /PRNewswire/ — Baidu, Inc. (NASDAQ: BIDU and HKEX: 9888 (HKD Counter) and 89888 (RMB Counter)), (“Baidu” or the “Company”), a leading AI company with strong Internet foundation, today announced that its Board of Directors (the “Board”) has approved a new US$5 billion share repurchase program and a dividend policy, with the objective of further enhancing shareholder returns.

    The Board has authorized a new share repurchase program for up to US$5 billion of the Company’s shares, effective through December 31, 2028. The Board will periodically review the repurchase program and may adjust its terms and size as appropriate.

    With our substantial cash reserves and sound financial management capabilities, we aim to create and continuously enhance long-term value for our shareholders through our proactive shareholder return initiatives. Apart from previous repurchase tactics, this brand new program will be executed on a regular basis in a disciplined and transparent manner, guided by a strategic focus beyond short-term stock price fluctuations.

    Repurchases may be effected from time to time through open market transactions at prevailing prices or by other legally permissible means, in compliance with applicable regulations and subject to market conditions.

    In addition, with the objective of further enhancing shareholder returns, the Board has approved the adoption, for the first time, of a dividend policy for the Company’s ordinary shares, which may include regular and/or special distributions of dividends.

    Future dividend distributions will be supported by sustainable funding sources, primarily derived from operating profits and potentially supplemented by proceeds from non-core asset disposals and other investment returns. The Board intends to establish a clear, balanced policy framework that aligns shareholder returns with the continued strategic growth of the Company.

    The Board expects to declare the first payment of dividend in 2026. The declaration, timing, and amount of any future dividend will be subject to the determination of the Board at its discretion based on factors such as the Company’s financial performance, capital requirements, prevailing market conditions and other considerations that the Board deems relevant. A formal announcement of the dividend will be made after the Board’s review and approval.

    About Baidu

    Founded in 2000, Baidu’s mission is to make the complicated world simpler through technology. Baidu is a leading AI company with strong Internet foundation, trading on NASDAQ under “BIDU” and HKEX under “9888”. One Baidu ADS represents eight Class A ordinary shares.

    Safe Harbor Statement

    This announcement contains forward-looking statements. These statements are made under the “safe harbor” provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements can be identified by terminology such as “will,” “expects,” “anticipates,” “future,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “estimates,” “confident” and similar statements. Baidu may also make written or oral forward-looking statements in its periodic reports to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”), in announcements made on the website of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, in its annual report to shareholders, in press releases and other written materials and in oral statements made by its officers, directors or employees to third parties. Statements that are not historical facts, including but not limited to statements about Baidu’s beliefs and expectations, are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement, including but not limited to the following: Baidu’s growth strategies; its future business development, including development of new products and services; its ability to attract and retain users and customers; competition in the Chinese Internet search and newsfeed market; competition for online marketing customers; changes in the Company’s revenues and certain cost or expense items as a percentage of its revenues; the outcome of ongoing, or any future, litigation or arbitration, including those relating to intellectual property rights; the expected growth of the Chinese-language Internet search and newsfeed market and the number of Internet and broadband users in China; Chinese governmental policies relating to the Internet and Internet search providers, and general economic conditions in China and elsewhere. Further information regarding these and other risks is included in the Company’s annual report on Form 20-F and other documents filed with the SEC, and announcements on the website of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Baidu does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statement, except as required under applicable law. All information provided in this announcement is as of the date of the announcement, and Baidu undertakes no duty to update such information, except as required under applicable law.

    SOURCE Baidu, Inc.

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  • The Hidden Value of Coal Infrastructure in the Energy Transition

    The Hidden Value of Coal Infrastructure in the Energy Transition

    As the world decarbonizes, what happens to the coal plants left behind? Some countries are reimagining them to serve a new role in a low-carbon future.

    For more than a century, coal powered industrial growth. Entire towns and regional economies were built around coal mines and power stations. Today, as the world shifts to clean energy and decarbonizes, many of these coal-dependent regions face economic decline. The challenge is no longer only how to close coal plants safely, but what comes next for workers, infrastructure, and local communities.

    The pressure to transition away from planet-warming fossil fuels is already underway in many parts of the world. In the United States, coal capacity is down by around 60% since 2010, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). In the European Union, countries including Germany, Spain and the Netherlands have set legally binding coal phase-out deadlines before 2030. The Global South is also facing mounting pressure to cancel new coal financing.

    Without planned transition strategies, retired coal sites risk becoming abandoned industrial zones, driving job losses, population outmigration, and shrinking municipal tax bases. However, emerging techno-economic pathways show that former coal regions can be repurposed into clean energy industrial hubs, turning stranded fossil fuel assets into engines of the green economy.

    The solution? There are various ways that have been employed throughout the world, some of which are discussed below.

    Hidden Value of Existing Coal Infrastructure 

    Coal plants exist on strategically valuable industrial land. They already have grid interconnections, transmission capacity and industrial zoning permits that make it easier for these sites to host utility-scale solar farms, wind farms, and grid-scale battery storage. 

    Building new renewable energy projects typically requires lengthy approval processes and costly grid upgrades. Repurposing former coal sites avoids these barriers. This approach accelerates renewable roll-out while preserving grid reliability and local employment opportunities.In the Eastern US, for example, retired coal plant sites in Appalachia are being redeveloped into solar and battery projects, supported by the Biden administration’s flagship Inflation Reduction Act.

    Coal mining leaves behind land that offers larger flat areas. Once reclaimed, this land can be suitable for solar panel assembly plants or wind turbine blade manufacturing or green hydrogen electrolysis facilities. 

    Germany is a great example of this. The Ruhr region transitioned from coal mining to advanced manufacturing and clean tech research parks over two decades through coordinated industrial policy and public investment – proof that long-term planning can convert declining fossil-fuel regions into innovation centres rather than economic dead zones.

    Another pathway is underground mines serving as long-term energy storage facilities. To ensure reliable power supply, grids require storage technologies capable of delivering electricity for several hours or days. Decommissioned mines offer natural cavities that can store pumped hydro energy, where water is pumped uphill using excess electricity and released to generate power when needed – or compressed-air energy storage, where air is pressurised underground and later released through turbines. Pilot projects in Spain and the UK are testing mine-based gravity and compressed-air storage.

    Transition for Coal Workers

    Coal workers already possess transferable skills like electrical maintenance skills, heavy machinery operation experience, and safety training. Short retraining programs can shift them into solar installation, wind turbine maintenance, and grid operations. Retraining initiatives, wage insurance programs, and regional investment funds are increasingly being adopted to support a “just transition” – a policy framework ensuring that workers and communities benefit from the shift to clean energy rather than bearing its costs alone.

    Final Thoughts 

    With strategic reinvestment moving forward, regions can gain new industries with higher long-term job stability and local ownership of energy assets. Community investment schemes and clean-tech innovation clusters further increase regional resilience.

    The transformation is not automatic. It requires coordinated policy, public-private financing, workforce planning, and long-term political commitment. However, the examples emerging across Europe and North America demonstrate that coal’s decline does not have to mean regional decline.

    As the world decarbonizes, the future of former coal regions will depend on whether governments and industry treat plant closures as endings or as opportunities to build the next generation of clean energy industrial hubs.

    Photo: Tom Grundy/hongkongfp.com.

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  • Chinese trading firm Zhongcai nets $500mn from silver sell-off

    Chinese trading firm Zhongcai nets $500mn from silver sell-off

    Good morning and welcome back to FirstFT Asia. In today’s newsletter:

    • Chinese trading firm wins big from silver route

    • Can Takaichi govern Japan on star power alone?

    • Indian leaders duck Trump’s Russian oil claim

    • Where to stay in Hong Kong


    We have an exclusive story today on Chinese trading firm Zhongcai Futures, which has emerged as a big winner from the recent rout in silver.

    Rare silver bear: Zhongcai has booked profits of more than Rmb3.6bn ($519mn) since Friday morning after building up short positions in silver in late January, according to FT calculations based on disclosures to the Shanghai Futures Exchange. Founded three decades ago by Bian Ximing as a manufacturer of PVC pipes before branching into futures trading, Zhongcai stands out as a rare silver bear in mainland China, even as a blistering rally in the metal gathered pace through January.

    Why it matters: Zhongcai’s profits highlight the recent wild volatility in precious metals trading, particularly in China, where regulators have been working to tamp down on speculative activity. It also underscores how the centre of gravity for gold and silver trading is gradually shifting towards Asia, where a frenzy of retail investment in bullion was central to driving January’s historic price surge.

    Read more about Zhongcai’s aggressive bets.

    Here’s what else we’re keeping tabs on today:

    • Economic data: January inflation data is due from Thailand, Taiwan and the Philippines. Indonesia reports fourth-quarter GDP and Singapore publishes December retail sales.

    • Results: Sony, Tata Motors, Nippon Steel, Amazon and Shell report earnings.

    • Ask an Expert Q&A: Are US markets and the economy as strong as Trump claims? Take part in a live Q&A today with US managing editor Brooke Masters and financial commentator Robert Armstrong.

    Five more top stories

    1. Donald Trump said he had spoken to Xi Jinping about the Ukraine war, Taiwan and other issues, in a call that came two months before the Chinese leader is expected to welcome the US president on a state visit in Beijing. The call took place after Xi spoke to Russia’s President Vladimir Putin, according to Chinese state media.

    • More US-China news: Nvidia’s sales of H200 AI chips to China are still awaiting final approval from Washington as the US government conducts a national security review.

    • Panama ports deal: CK Hutchison has taken Panama to arbitration after the Central American country’s top court ruled to kick out the Hong Kong-based conglomerate from ports on its canal.

    2. The US has launched an effort to form a trade zone for critical minerals with allies including Japan and the EU. The initiative marks a rare instance of global trade co-operation from the Trump administration, as it works to reduce western reliance on China for a wide range of critical minerals. Here are more details.

    • Related: Beijing’s dominance of rare earths has sparked a rush among buyers to source the metals elsewhere, with more than 30 projects set for production this decade.

    3. Companies linked to Indonesia’s richest man have announced share buybacks after a market rout triggered by a downgrade warning from index provider MSCI helped wipe out more than a quarter of his net worth. Billionaire Prajogo Pangestu has lost $11.7bn of his wealth since the start of the year amid Indonesia’s worst stock sell-off since the Asian financial crisis of 1998, according to Bloomberg data.

    4. Google said it plans to spend at least $55bn more on capital expenditure this year than Wall Street had forecast, as it doubles down on its huge spending on AI. The search giant increased its forecast for capex in 2026 to a range of $175bn to $185bn, far exceeding analysts’ expectations for about $120bn.

    • Markets: US tech stocks were hit by a fresh wave of selling yesterday, adding fuel to a sell-off sparked by concerns about the impact of AI on software businesses.

    • Anthropic’s new AI tools: The start-up’s advances have rattled markets this week, amid fears of disruption across sectors from publishing and advertising to law.

    5. A top Senate Republican has said Fed chair Jay Powell has not “committed a crime”, in a strong rebuke of the Trump administration’s probe into the central bank chief from a senior member of the president’s own party. Read the remarks from Tim Scott, chair of the powerful Senate banking committee.

    The Big Read

    Sanae Takaichi, the arch-conservative and populist, is on course for a possible landslide in the shortest election campaign in postwar Japanese history. But if the prime minister wins this week’s vote, she will face harsh realities.

    We’re also reading . . . 

    Chart of the day

    When Trump announced a long-awaited US-India trade deal on Monday, the president claimed a commitment by New Delhi to stop buying Russian oil had made the agreement possible. But the reluctance of Indian leaders to confirm such a pledge is fuelling deep scepticism among analysts that any substantial cut is imminent.

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    Take a break from the news . . . 

    Looking for a place to stay in Hong Kong? FT Globetrotter has you covered, from the city’s grandes dames to new design classics.

    The Harbourview Suite with Daybed at the Regent Hong Kong

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  • Google Profit Jumps 30 Percent on A.I. Gains – The New York Times

    1. Google Profit Jumps 30 Percent on A.I. Gains  The New York Times
    2. Alphabet’s Bold Capital Expenditure Plans for 2026 Unveiled  Global Banking And Finance Awards®
    3. PREVIEW: Alphabet poised to beat analyst expectations on strong advertising revenue growth  TradingView
    4. Listen to the Google (GOOGL) Q4 2025 earnings call here  Shacknews
    5. Dear Google Stock Fans, Mark Your Calendars for February 4  Barchart.com

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  • Fitch Expects to Rate Black Pearl Compute LLC's Proposed Sr Secured Notes 'BB-(EXP)'; Outlook Stable – Fitch Ratings

    1. Fitch Expects to Rate Black Pearl Compute LLC’s Proposed Sr Secured Notes ‘BB-(EXP)’; Outlook Stable  Fitch Ratings
    2. Cipher Mining Stock Jumps as Firm Aims to Borrow $2 Billion for Amazon-Linked Data Center  TipRanks
    3. What’s Going On With Cipher Mining Stock Wednesday? – Cipher Mining (NASDAQ:CIFR)  Benzinga
    4. Cipher Bond Tied to AWS Data Centers Gets $13 Billion of Orders  Bloomberg.com
    5. Cipher Mining to raise $2bn to expand AI computing  ForkLog

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  • The Case For Earlier LDL Cholesterol Lowering: Supporting Lifelong Healthy Vascular Aging

    The Case For Earlier LDL Cholesterol Lowering: Supporting Lifelong Healthy Vascular Aging

    Atherosclerosis begins early and progresses silently. Patients requiring secondary prevention have already accumulated decades of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) exposure resulting in some potentially irreversible arterial aging and injury. LDL-C should be conceived of as a marker of cumulative risk rather than a single assessment at a point in time. As Shapiro and Bhatt described, cumulative exposure to LDL-C functions much like pack-years for smoking, predicting not only the likelihood but also the timing and severity of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD).1 For true primary prevention of ASCVD, when it comes to LDL-C levels, lower is better for longer.

    Decades of genetic, epidemiologic, and clinical evidence summarized in recent meta-analyses and guidelines demonstrate a linear, causal, and cumulative relationship between lifelong elevated LDL-C levels and ASCVD risk.1,2 Recent data reveal that timing of elevated LDL-C exposure matters as much as the degree of elevation. Domanski et al. demonstrated that both total cumulative LDL-C exposure and the time-weighted mean LDL-C levels were independently predictive of future cardiovascular (CV) events.3 Specifically, exposure prior to 50 years of age may increase risk of CV events more than exposure later in life—a concept consistent with the life-course framework, which emphasizes the ways timing of exposure shapes long-term disease trajectories.4 Specifically, lowering LDL-C levels in young adults has a more potent effect in reducing ASCVD incidence than does starting later.

    These findings complement recent findings from Wilkins et al. that a single LDL-C or non–high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) measurement obtained between 18 and 30 years of age predicts an individual’s cumulative exposure through 40 years of age with excellent precision.5 Participants in the top quartile of early-life non–HDL-C levels >135 mg/dL had a 4.5-fold greater risk of ASCVD after 40 years of age than did those in the lowest quartile. Thus, a single lipid panel in young adulthood can predict decades of risk. For many adults who are open to preventive statin therapy, the questions should be how early and how intensively to start. The 2025 Focused Update of the 2019 European Society of Cardiology/European Atherosclerosis Society (ESC/EAS) Guidelines for the Management of Dyslipidaemias reinforces a proactive approach that calls for consideration of earlier, more aggressive LDL-C lowering in primary prevention rather than waiting for the disease to manifest.2

    If cumulative exposure to atherogenic lipoproteins drives ASCVD, it would make sense that earlier LDL-C reduction would yield greater benefit than waiting until moderate atherosclerosis is present. Every 1 mmol/L LDL-C reduction yields approximately 20-25% relative major adverse CV events reduction over 5 years, with absolute risk reduction dependent on baseline risk.2 Long-term follow-up of the WOSCOPS (The West of Scotland Coronary Prevention Study) participants demonstrated a persistent legacy benefit of early statin therapy and lower coronary and CV mortality up to 20 years later despite similar LDL-C levels in follow-up.6,7 A similar legacy effect was observed in the FOURIER-OLE (FOURIER Open-Label Extension) study, an open label extension of the FOURIER (Further Cardiovascular Outcomes Research With PCSK9 Inhibition in Subjects With Elevated Risk) trial. These findings highlight that earlier LDL-C control forestalls atheroma formation and reduce risk of recurrent events, and, thereby, highlight how preventive pharmacotherapy supports healthy vascular aging.

    Traditionally, lipid management followed a sequential, stepwise approach. Most patients would start a statin, LDL-C levels would be rechecked months later, and, if targets were unmet despite concomitant efforts at lifestyle improvement, ezetimibe or, more rarely, a proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitor was considered. In contrast, both the 2025 ESC/EAS focused update on dyslipidemia and the 2022 American College of Cardiology (ACC) Expert Consensus Decision Pathway on the Role of Nonstatin Therapies for LDL-C Lowering in the Management of ASCVD Risk now recommend consideration of more rapid, intensive lipid-lowering strategies from the start, especially for patients with CV risk–enhancing factors such as elevated lipoprotein(a) levels, elevated high-sensitivity C-reactive protein levels, and health-related social needs.2,8 Implementation of such guidelines may help overcome the low use of combination lipid-lowering therapy in both Europe and the United States (US).

    Under the European model, treatment initiation should be considered when LDL-C levels exceed 100 mg/dL in individuals at moderate risk and 70 mg/dL in those at high risk, with targets of <70 mg/dL for those at moderate risk and <55 mg/dL for those at high risk.2 The 2025 ESC/EAS focused update on dyslipidemia elevates bempedoic acid to a class I recommendation on the basis of the CLEAR Outcomes (Cholesterol Lowering via Bempedoic Acid, an ACL-Inhibiting Regimen) trial results and recognizes inclisiran as an alternative.2

    Similarly, the 2022 ACC expert consensus decision pathway on LDL-C lowering recommends reassessment within 6 weeks and immediate addition of nonstatin lipid-lowering therapy if LDL-C targets are unmet (<70 mg/dL for individuals at high risk, <55 mg/dL for those at very high risk).8 This guidance encourages clinicians to anticipate the need for combination therapy from initiation in patients at high risk.

    Beyond clinical benefit, earlier LDL-C lowering is economically optimal. Cost-effectiveness analyses support earlier initiation of lipid-lowering therapy: Statins are cost-effective in adults <40 years of age with LDL-C levels ≥130-160 mg/dL, and starting 10 years earlier likely prevents more events than intensifying therapy later.9 In an accompanying editorial, Heidenreich et al. urged the US societies to relax the 40-years-old age threshold and to adopt lifetime risk-guided pharmacologic LDL-C lowering to align with the European prevention principles.10 Early testing enables earlier treatment rather than delayed reaction. Even modest LDL-C reduction begun early yields exponential economic benefit, which may be thought of as a legacy effect.

    Atherogenesis is a cumulative vascular aging process. Every decade of elevated LDL-C levels compounds lifetime risk, whereas each year of earlier LDL-C lowering confers protection. The 2025 ESC/EAS focused update on dyslipidemia emphasizes early prevention by lowering initiation thresholds to 100 mg/dL in groups at moderate risk and to 70 mg/dL those at high risk. By reframing lipid management as lifelong exposure reduction to promote healthy vascular aging rather than reactive correction, clinicians can shift from managing disease to effectively preventing it.

    References

    1. Shapiro MD, Bhatt DL. “Cholesterol-years” for ASCVD risk prediction and treatment. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2020;76(13):1517-1520. doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2020.08.004
    2. Mach F, Koskinas KC, Roeters van Lennep JE, et al. 2025 focused update of the 2019 ESC/EAS guidelines for the management of dyslipidaemias. Eur Heart J. 2025;46(42):4359-4378. doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehaf190
    3. Domanski MJ, Tian X, Wu CO, et al. Time course of LDL cholesterol exposure and cardiovascular disease event risk. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2020;76(13):1507-1516. doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2020.07.059
    4. Zheutlin AR, Handoo F, Luebbe S, et al. Cumulative exposure to atherogenic lipoprotein particles in young adults and subsequent incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. Eur Heart J. 2025;46(41):4302-4312. doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehaf472
    5. Wilkins JT, Ning H, Allen NB, et al. Prediction of cumulative exposure to atherogenic lipids during early adulthood. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2024;84(11):961-973. doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2024.05.070
    6. Mhaimeed O, Burney ZA, Schott SL, Kohli P, Marvel FA, Martin SS. The importance of LDL-C lowering in atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease prevention: lower for longer is better. Am J Prev Cardiol. 2024;18:100649. Published 2024 Mar 18. doi:10.1016/j.ajpc.2024.100649
    7. Ford I, Murray H, McCowan C, Packard CJ. Long-term safety and efficacy of lowering low-density lipoprotein cholesterol with statin therapy: 20-year follow-up of West of Scotland coronary prevention study. Circulation. 2016;133(11):1073-1080. doi:10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.019014
    8. Writing Committee, Lloyd-Jones DM, Morris PB, et al. 2022 ACC expert consensus decision pathway on the role of nonstatin therapies for LDL-cholesterol lowering in the management of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk: a report of the American College of Cardiology Solution Set Oversight Committee. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2022;80(14):1366-1418. doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2022.07.006
    9. Kohli-Lynch CN, Bellows BK, Zhang Y, et al. Cost-effectiveness of lipid-lowering treatments in young adults. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2021;78(20):1954-1964. doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2021.08.065
    10. Heidenreich PA, Clarke SL, Maron DJ. Time to relax the 40-year age threshold for pharmacologic cholesterol lowering. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2021;78(20):1965-1967. doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2021.08.072


    Keywords:
    Cholesterol, LDL, Plaque, Atherosclerotic, Carotid Artery Diseases, Primary Prevention, Epidemiology, Lipids, Vascular Diseases

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  • Ontario’s IPC covers potential risks, guardrails as AI meets health care

    Ontario’s IPC covers potential risks, guardrails as AI meets health care

    The impacts of artificial intelligence on processes and services in the health care sector raise promise and risks. Ontario’s Office of the Information and Privacy Commissioner is trying to get ahead of the delicate landscape with an eye toward balancing safety and innovation.

    In recent weeks, the IPC offered new guidance materials to help thread the needle.

    First came the new Principles for the Responsible Use of AI, developed in coordination Ontario’s Human Rights Commission. The IPC described the principles as tools to “develop, deploy, and use AI in ways that maintain public trust by respecting privacy and human rights.”

    Additional guidance from the IPC covered AI notetakers, or scribes, in health care settings and features a checklist for procurement professionals, developers and users in the health sector, which contains key considerations throughout the AI life cycle that should be weighed when evaluating potential AI solutions.

    The new resources helped set the stage for a broader discussion on AI health care during a 28 Jan. workshop commemorating Data Privacy Day.

    Delivering opening remarks at the workshop, IPC Commissioner Patricia Kosseim referenced a recent survey from the Canadian Medical Association and Canadian Federation of Independent Businesses in which 90% of the nearly 2,000 physicians surveyed reported a significant administrative burden in filling out paperwork that amounted to an aggregate of 20 million hours annually and detracted from their ability to care for patients. 

    Kosseim pointed to other responses that showed roughly half of physicians identifying AI as a potential solution for easing administrative tasks, while half of those surveyed also acknowledged “real privacy, security and legal risks” surrounding AI use in clinical settings. The survey also found that approximately one-third of physicians wanted help identifying and vetting various AI products.

    The guidance on AI scribes “will help health professionals take a privacy-first approach focusing on core governance and accountability measures needed to protect personal health information and reduce the risk of bias and inadequacy,” Kosseim said. “Together these two companion documents set out clear expectations and best practices to ensure compliance with Ontario’s health privacy law, mitigate risks of harm and ultimately preserve trust.”

    Opportunities for integrating AI in health care

    One theme from the day-long workshop focused on the potential benefits that could be realized for integrating certain aspects of health care services with AI. 

    St. Michael’s Hospital Clinician-Scientist Dr. Amol Verma said AI uses in the health care sector primarily fall into four main categories: General AI, general clinical AI, clinical AI tools and AI that is embedded in medical devices. 

    Verma said general AI, such as generative AI models like ChatGPT, are being increasingly used by practitioners to query for basic medical information, instead of more traditional search engines like Google Search. Whereas general clinical AI may embed a specific health care system’s information and data into an AI model to create a health-specific chatbot.

    “The innovation is there, but it’s uneven (in its distribution),” Verma said. “So now, we as a health care system have to look at that technology and say, ‘We’re getting 10% of the people that use this are benefitting substantially, and that’s meaningful.’ How much are we willing to pay for that technology, and what are we substituting in our healthcare system to pay for that technology? Unless we have robust standards of rigorous evidence, we can’t make those decisions.”

    University of Ottawa School of Epidemiology and Public Health Professor and Canada Research Chair in Medical AI Khaled El Emam said in order to realize the greatest benefits from AI in medicine from both a delivery of care and innovation perspective, Ontario and Canada as a whole need to develop a “playbook” for reforming regulations around enabling greater access to medical data for both researchers and companies developing cutting edge AI solutions.  

    Part of this playbook would be reducing the timeframe for medical testing that involves an AI component to get answers sooner on a tool’s efficacy. 

    “The technology moves fast,” El Emam said. “If the gold standard is to perform controlled trials and (randomized controlled trials) to evaluate interventions, these take a long time to do. If you’re going to spend a couple years evaluating a technology in the clinic, two years from now, who cares? Everything else has changed and something better is available.”

    Establishing relevant frameworks for enabling AI integration

    To ensure AI does not impede general patient rights and the right to privacy, panelists agreed Ontario’s health care sector must explore all its framework options.

    University of Ottawa Canada Research Chair in Information Law and Policy Teresa Scassa said key considerations for crafting policies around using AI in health care are data provenance and the varying degrees of consent given for the data therein and setting standards for acquiring AI solutions to ensure they meet not only Canada’s privacy laws, but Ontario-specific rules.

    “There is a proliferation of vendors that are trying to attract new customers and holding out promises that their tools were compliant with different privacy laws, and that can get complicated because the doctors or health care custodians in Ontario are subject to very specific privacy laws and those might not be the same ones (they) are being certified as being compatible with,” Scassa said. “The provenance of data that’s used to train AI is an interesting and thorny question because it can come from a variety of sources and consent can be obtained in a variety of ways. There’s data used without consent, and there may also be data that is used with consent but the consent was obtained in ways that aren’t genuine.”

    In terms of disclosing AI uses in clinical health settings, IPC Senior Health Policy Advisor Nicole Minutti said data custodians must include the purpose for using AI, what data is shared with third parties and the reason for doing so, AI risks, such bias, and the safeguards the custodian has in place to safeguard protected health information. She referenced a survey conducted Office of the Privacy Commissioner of Canada last year that found 88% of Canadian citizens are concerned about their personal information being shared and used to train AI models, with 42% of whom were “extremely concerned.” 

    “When we see this level of concern in the general public, it’s inevitable that at some point data custodians are going to be asked about their use of AI systems,” Minutti said. “They should be prepared to answer those questions.”

    Queen’s University Dean of Law Colleen Flood argued AI used in health care can pose both clinical and privacy risks. 

    She said clinicians should not be faced with explainability requirements for patients, in terms of how a given large language used by the health care institution model functions. They should be required to explain the material risks the model may pose to patients in the form of automation biases or data leak risks. She said privacy risks stem from AI being used to re-identify deidentified data. 

    Another consideration for practitioners is ensuring their employers understand the terms of use contracts they are signing with AI vendors. Flood said some contracts are written so that all clinical and privacy liability falls on the health care provider and/or their institution. 

    “The desire for vendors will be to download all of that liability, privacy liability onto the clinician, so those contracts need to be carefully reviewed and considered,” she added. “We need Big Bang (privacy) reform here: We over-assume the law does some things, it doesn’t do other things. It’s not working for what we need right now and we need to fix this.”

    In an interview with the IAPP following the workshop, the Commissioner Kosseim said the insights gleaned from the workshop will help inform the agency’s approach to monitoring AI integration with the health sector. She said for developers, they must view the need to uphold patients’ privacy as “not in conflict with innovation.”

    “As a regulator, we need to support iterative thinking so that we can help inform the risks being taken engage all of those interested parties to participate in that process,” Kosseim said. “The theme coming out of today is the need for trust across the system: Trust in providers, patients’ trust in health care institutions, and how important it is to continue to build that trust so when tools like AI scribes are introduced they are well governed and patients don’t lost that trust that is so fundamental to our health care system.”

    Alex LaCasse is a staff writer for the IAPP.

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