Category: 3. Business

  • Oil Prices Today: Crude Is on the Rise, But There’s a Floor – Barron's

    1. Oil Prices Today: Crude Is on the Rise, But There’s a Floor  Barron’s
    2. Oil back above $100 a barrel as conflicting claims emerge on US-Iran talks  BBC
    3. Why the oil and gas price shock from the Iran war won’t just fade away  Al Jazeera
    4. Oil rises, with Brent climbing back above $100 as optimism fades over Iran war de-escalation  CNBC
    5. Oil Prices Spike as Iran Denies U.S. Talks and Traders Refocus on Supply Risk  Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com

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  • Oil surge and weak Eurozone PMIs drive markets as US Dollar firms

    Oil surge and weak Eurozone PMIs drive markets as US Dollar firms

    Here is what you need to know for Wednesday, March 25:

    The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading around the 99.50 region, experiencing a relative surge as rising United States (US) Treasury yields and hawkish Fed expectations offset mixed risk sentiment. Elevated Oil prices reinforce inflation concerns, supporting the Greenback.

    US Dollar Price Today

    The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

    USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
    USD 0.26% 0.40% 0.37% 0.28% 0.61% 0.71% 0.59%
    EUR -0.26% 0.11% 0.09% 0.02% 0.36% 0.45% 0.33%
    GBP -0.40% -0.11% -0.02% -0.08% 0.23% 0.33% 0.22%
    JPY -0.37% -0.09% 0.02% -0.05% 0.27% 0.38% 0.25%
    CAD -0.28% -0.02% 0.08% 0.05% 0.32% 0.42% 0.30%
    AUD -0.61% -0.36% -0.23% -0.27% -0.32% 0.10% -0.04%
    NZD -0.71% -0.45% -0.33% -0.38% -0.42% -0.10% -0.12%
    CHF -0.59% -0.33% -0.22% -0.25% -0.30% 0.04% 0.12%

    The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

    EUR/USD fell near the 1.1580 zone, finding some support from a softer Dollar at times but pressured by weak Eurozone PMI data. The near stagnation in services activity capped upside and highlighted slowing growth momentum in the bloc.

    GBP/USD plummeted to near the 1.3385 region. The Pound was weighed down by rising cost pressure and slowing United Kingdom (UK) business activity, as PMI-related inflation concerns intensified alongside the global energy shock.

    USD/JPY remained elevated near the 159.00 area, supported by higher US yields. The Yen remained under pressure amid policy divergence, though intermittent risk-off sentiment provided mild support.

    AUD/USD bottomed out at 0.6940, benefiting from USD softness in some parts of the session. However, gains were capped as global growth concerns triggered by weak PMIs and rising energy costs limited risk appetite.

    West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil surged toward $92 per barrel, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions and supply risks linked to disruptions in key shipping routes. The rally reinforced inflation fears and became the key driver of global markets.

    Gold trades in a tight, range-bound tone at $4,406, struggling to capitalize fully on safe-haven demand after Monday’s drop to $4,098. While geopolitical risks offered support, higher yields and a resilient US Dollar limited upside momentum.

    What’s next in the docket:

    Wednesday, March 25:

    • Australia Consumer Price Index (Feb).
    • United Kingdom Inflation Data (CPI, PPI, RPI).
    • Switzerland ZEW Survey – Expectations (Mar).
    • Germany IFO Business Climate (Mar).
    • Switzerland SNB Quarterly Bulletin (Q1).

    Thursday, March 26:

    • Germany GfK Consumer Confidence (Apr).
    • Eurozone Gross Domestic Product (Q4).
    • Germany Bundesbank Monthly Report.
    • United States Initial Jobless Claims.
    • New Zealand ANZ – Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence (Mar).

    Friday, March 27:

    • UK March Consumer Confidence.
    • UK February Retail Sales.
    • Eurozone March Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices Prel.
    • US March Michigan Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations.

    WTI Oil FAQs

    WTI Oil is a type of Crude Oil sold on international markets. The WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate, one of three major types including Brent and Dubai Crude. WTI is also referred to as “light” and “sweet” because of its relatively low gravity and sulfur content respectively. It is considered a high quality Oil that is easily refined. It is sourced in the United States and distributed via the Cushing hub, which is considered “The Pipeline Crossroads of the World”. It is a benchmark for the Oil market and WTI price is frequently quoted in the media.

    Like all assets, supply and demand are the key drivers of WTI Oil price. As such, global growth can be a driver of increased demand and vice versa for weak global growth. Political instability, wars, and sanctions can disrupt supply and impact prices. The decisions of OPEC, a group of major Oil-producing countries, is another key driver of price. The value of the US Dollar influences the price of WTI Crude Oil, since Oil is predominantly traded in US Dollars, thus a weaker US Dollar can make Oil more affordable and vice versa.

    The weekly Oil inventory reports published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) impact the price of WTI Oil. Changes in inventories reflect fluctuating supply and demand. If the data shows a drop in inventories it can indicate increased demand, pushing up Oil price. Higher inventories can reflect increased supply, pushing down prices. API’s report is published every Tuesday and EIA’s the day after. Their results are usually similar, falling within 1% of each other 75% of the time. The EIA data is considered more reliable, since it is a government agency.

    OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a group of 12 Oil-producing nations who collectively decide production quotas for member countries at twice-yearly meetings. Their decisions often impact WTI Oil prices. When OPEC decides to lower quotas, it can tighten supply, pushing up Oil prices. When OPEC increases production, it has the opposite effect. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that includes ten extra non-OPEC members, the most notable of which is Russia.

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  • CERAWeek: Qatar’s LNG problems rattle Big Oil executives

    CERAWeek: Qatar’s LNG problems rattle Big Oil executives

    Big Oil executives warned on Tuesday that damage to Qatar’s liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies could send shocks throughout global energy markets, even as their companies’ shares surged on the back of $100-a-barrel crude.

    An Iranian attack on Ras Laffan Industrial City last week effectively wiped out 17 per cent of Qatar’s LNG export capacity. The state-run QatarEnergy declared force majeure on Tuesday on its LNG contracts with Belgium, China, Italy and South Korea.

    While Qatar’s LNG production halt is set to severely disrupt supply flows to Asia, Shell chief executive Wael Sawan warned the Iran war would lead to broader “ripple effects” in global energy markets.

    “We see, of course, South Asia first to get the brunt. That’s moved to South-East Asia, North-East Asia, and then more so into Europe as we get into April,” Mr Sawan told those attending CERAWeek in Houston, Texas.

    Shell has a 30 per cent interest in QatarEnergy LNG. Chief executive Saad Al Kaabi has warned it could take up to five years to rebuild the reduced capacity.

    Subsequently, Shell also declared force majeure on its LNG supply contracts for cargoes sourced from QatarEnergy, Reuters reported. Mr Sawan said the Anglo-Dutch major’s Pearl gas-to-liquids centre was safe.

    Shares in the company have risen by about 11 per cent since the Iran war began on February 28, despite concerns over attacks on its operations in Qatar.

    Others have seen their shares increase as well, as recent estimates from Jeffries and Rystad Energy anticipate that major US oil companies could see a windfall of about $63.4 billion if crude prices continue to hover around $100 a barrel.

    Oil prices were edging higher on Tuesday, with Brent crude trading 2.59 per cent higher at $102.5 a barrel, after reaching as high as $119 a barrel last week on fears of supply chain disruptions caused by the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

    Shares in Chevron have risen more than 11 per cent since before the war, while ExxonMobil’s shares rose by more than 8 per cent. The company’s president of integrated gas, Cedric Cremers, on Monday said Shell was concerned about the impact the Iran war would have on the long-term confidence of LNG supplies.

    Shares in ConocoPhillips have risen more than 15 per cent. ConocoPhillips is a vital partner of QatarEnergy and holds an interest in a large-scale LNG liquefaction and export project in Ras Laffan.

    Chief executive Ryan Lance said the company was in discussions with the Trump administration to receive extra protection around its assets.

    Anatol Feygin, executive vice president at the Houston LNG company Cheniere, on Monday described the cut-off of LNG supply as a “guillotine issue”.

    Mr Lance, like other top energy executives this week, said his company was fighting with the supply constraints that the Iran war was placing on markets and the economy.

    “You just can’t take eight to 10 million barrels a day of oil and 20 per cent or so of the LNG market off the world stage without having some significant regressions,” he said. “I think we’re all trying to assess what the long-term implications are.”